As a life-long Liberal/Lib Dem I usually scoff at suggestions that any party is in terminal decline, because it just never happens, even after we went down to 5 MPs. Similarly with Labour immediately after the 83 result, the later Blair government looked an absolute impossibility at the time, let alone running to three successful terms.
But here’s what seems completely different to me. Labour is totally controlled by Momentum. It governs the PLP and seems set to dictate the rules for evermore, as long as it has a majority of Labour’s membership. It has infiltrated most constituency parties, so effectively controls both national and local leadership. Given that its’ raison d’etre is to create a far left socialist Britain, and that that is what the majority of Britons don’t want, how can it ever regain power?
Then add to the mix the massive shift in party sentiment over the past ten years, where they’ve now lost their bedrock heartlands of Scotland, North East, Lancashire, East Midlands and London’s East End, and their future looks even bleaker. I’m not sure I buy the new conventional wisdom that these votes have been temporarily loaned to the Tories because of Brexit. If, after 5 years of new expenditures, even a modicum of a feel-good factor returns to these constituencies then, having lost their virginity, these voters could easily remain switched, particularly with a Tory slogan of ‘what did labour ever do for you’?
I hope I’m wrong in all this, because if we ever needed a strong effective opposition it’s now. I’m just wondering if we’re on the cusp of some radical realignment.