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Relegation (1500/1 odds)
- Thread starter lyndhurst
- Start date
I think I'm going to do that :lol:
At least if the worse happens, I have a few grand to ease the pain (with half going to the Argyle Community Trust and Academy, of course).
At least if the worse happens, I have a few grand to ease the pain (with half going to the Argyle Community Trust and Academy, of course).
For this to happen, it would probably be the biggest relegation in our history.
1. Rochdale would of needed to win their last 7 games.
2. All the other clubs would need to keep winning in order to get at least level with us. I believe our goal difference will be one of the worst in bottom four.
3. Argyle will have not obtained one win in the last 7 games. They would finish with 2 wins out of their last 15 games.
4. A team on 53 points would be relegated for the first time in league one.
In other words we would have to see something as big as Leicester winning the league. It’s not impossible but happens once in a life time. Especially with those odds.
1. Rochdale would of needed to win their last 7 games.
2. All the other clubs would need to keep winning in order to get at least level with us. I believe our goal difference will be one of the worst in bottom four.
3. Argyle will have not obtained one win in the last 7 games. They would finish with 2 wins out of their last 15 games.
4. A team on 53 points would be relegated for the first time in league one.
In other words we would have to see something as big as Leicester winning the league. It’s not impossible but happens once in a life time. Especially with those odds.
Those odds are definitely worth a punt. But they also show that there really is only a miniscule chance of it happening. However, as we know, it would be VERY Argyle for it to happen.
On from MGM's point about goal difference, I am a believer that this is a better indicator of how "good" a team is than points. Teams can get lucky, play teams when they have injuries etc. that inflates their points total (and vice versa), but over a season, if you're not that good, you won't spank many teams and a few will spank you (hello!).
Of course, you generally see this trend reflected with points. The top teams have the best GD and the bottom teams have the worst. There are always a few exceptions. We currently have the 4th worst GD. I think we are probably one of the 4 worst teams in the division. Have we had enough luck to stay up? Let's see.
On from MGM's point about goal difference, I am a believer that this is a better indicator of how "good" a team is than points. Teams can get lucky, play teams when they have injuries etc. that inflates their points total (and vice versa), but over a season, if you're not that good, you won't spank many teams and a few will spank you (hello!).
Of course, you generally see this trend reflected with points. The top teams have the best GD and the bottom teams have the worst. There are always a few exceptions. We currently have the 4th worst GD. I think we are probably one of the 4 worst teams in the division. Have we had enough luck to stay up? Let's see.
I'm putting a tenner on it. It does ease the pain of relegation, a few beers and pays for the next season ticket.
Steve Wooldridge":2otz0vlr said:
Would pay for about 4,000 beers and a season ticket :lol:
Maybe enough for one round in London.
I'm still anxious about it happening until we are mathematically safe. I can't see Rochdale picking up 3 points at both Crewe and Franchise FC though.
M
M
Well worth betting a pound !
Consider it an insurance policy which you would rather not cash in.
Consider it an insurance policy which you would rather not cash in.
I’ve popped a couple of quid on plus Shrewsbury and Burton - at those odds it’d be rude not to. :lol:
lyndhurst13":tx8gx3j6 said:
I'm having some of that as an insurance I don't want to cash in on, but I should have placed the bet a month or so ago when it was clear that we were in our second freefall, which is when I first started to worry.
