The Real League Table

[Rich McLean]

I will do my best, and factor in teams who play each other next week, but it will take me a few hours to work it all out

 

[jimsing]

The last match of the season on Saturday 2nd May looks interesting.

Away to Shrewsbury!!

 

[Argy1e]

Rich hadn't posted anything for a while (Presumably because people were trying to over complicate things) but i thought i'd try and update this, i'm not 100% sure everything's right but i think it is.

100
99 - Guaranteed Champions
98
97
96
95
94
93 - Guaranteed Promotion, Champions 2010, Champions 2012
92
91
90
89 - Guaranteed Playoffs
88
87
86 - Predicted Champions, Champions 2011
85
84 - Champions 2014, Promotion 2012
83 - Champions 2013
82 - Promotion 2010
81 - Promotion 2014
80 - Promotion 2011
79
78 - Predicted Promotion, Promotion 2013
77
76
75
74
73 - Predicted Playoffs
72 - Playoffs 2010, Playoffs 2012
71 - Playoffs 2014
70
69 - Playoffs 2013
68 - Guaranteed Safety, Playoffs 2011
67 - Burton
66
65 - Shrewsbury
64 - Wycombe
63
62
61
60
59 - Southend
58 - Luton, Bury
57
56
55 - ARGYLE, Stevenage
54
53 - Newport
52
51 - Safety 2013
50 - Safety 2014 : Northampton
49 - Wimbledon
48 - Safety 2010, Safety 2011 : Morecambe
47 - Exeter
46 - Safety 2012
45 - Predicted Safety : Portsmouth
44 - Accrington
43 - Dag & Red
42 - Cambridge, Oxford, Mansfield
41
40
39
38
37
36 - York, Carlisle
35 - Cheltenham
34 - Tranmere
33
32
31
30
29
28
27 - Hartlepool

Guaranteed positions are worked out as position below ( for top = 2nd place current points + maximum available points + 1)
Predicted is based on teams in current positions average.
Teams playing each other have not been taken into account

 

[L G]

The last match of the season on Saturday 2nd May looks interesting.

Away to Shrewsbury!!

Could make Villa v West Brom look like a teddy bear's picnic :lol:

 

[Rich McLean]

Been really busy as of late, so apologies for the lack of an update. It's still very tight

 

[Wilf Carters Boots]

I find these tables and comments great fun and probably because I have more time on my hands than I should admit to and boosted by the win over Northampton yesterday, I have come up with a few stats that probably give more positive vibes than negative.....With 11 games to go we have 55pts if you simply take the average points per game we have achieved thus far then we will finish with 72pts (to nearest whole point). However, if you look at the seasons fixtures and take any previous 11 CONSECUTIVE matches the average number of points achieved is 16. Thus we would finish on 71pts. The worst consecutive 11 matches saw us gain just 10pts which would give us just 65pts at the end of the season while the best was 21pts which of course gives us 76pts. Of the 25 occasions that 11 consecutive results have occurred (still with me?) on 7 occasions (the most) we garnered 18pts. So reproducing that 'reliable form' would see us finish with 73pts. Only once in the last 10 years has 72pts not been enough to qualify for the play-offs (2007/8) and once (2004/5) the teams in 6th and 7th had 72 and so did the team in 8th but goal difference prevailed. Our goal difference is superb just now and if we did finish on 72pts well chances are it would still be superb. I hope this all makes sense because it has given me renewed hope that we will be in the play-offs!!
:scarf:

 

[Dreamgreen]

I find these tables and comments great fun and probably because I have more time on my hands than I should admit to and boosted by the win over Northampton yesterday, I have come up with a few stats that probably give more positive vibes than negative.....With 11 games to go we have 55pts if you simply take the average points per game we have achieved thus far then we will finish with 72pts (to nearest whole point). However, if you look at the seasons fixtures and take any previous 11 CONSECUTIVE matches the average number of points achieved is 16. Thus we would finish on 71pts. The worst consecutive 11 matches saw us gain just 10pts which would give us just 65pts at the end of the season while the best was 21pts which of course gives us 76pts. Of the 25 occasions that 11 consecutive results have occurred (still with me?) on 7 occasions (the most) we garnered 18pts. So reproducing that 'reliable form' would see us finish with 73pts. Only once in the last 10 years has 72pts not been enough to qualify for the play-offs (2007/8) and once (2004/5) the teams in 6th and 7th had 72 and so did the team in 8th but goal difference prevailed. Our goal difference is superb just now and if we did finish on 72pts well chances are it would still be superb. I hope this all makes sense because it has given me renewed hope that we will be in the play-offs!!
:scarf:

You made feel better ... until Saturday afternoon anyway !

 

[Argy1e]

100
99
98
97
96 - Guaranteed Champions
95
94
93 - Champions 2010, Champions 2012
92 - Guaranteed Promotion
91
90
89
88
87
86 - Predicted Champions, Champions 2011
85 - Guaranteed Playoffs
84 - Champions 2014, Promotion 2012
83 - Champions 2013
82 - Promotion 2010
81 - Predicted Promotion, Promotion 2014
80 - Promotion 2011
79
78 - Promotion 2013
77
76
75
74
73 - Burton
72 - Predicted Playoffs, Playoffs 2010, Playoffs 2012
71 - Playoffs 2014
70
69 - Playoffs 2013
68 - Playoffs 2011 : Shrewsbury Wycombe
67 -
66
65 - Guaranteed Safety
64 - Bury
63
62 - Southend
61
60
59
58 - Luton
57 - Stevenage, Newport
56 - ARGYLE
55
54
53 - Northampton
52
51 - Safety 2013 : Exeter
50 - Safety 2014
49 - Portsmouth, Wimbledon
48 - Safety 2010, Safety 2011 : Morecambe
47 - Predicted Safety
46 - Safety 2012 : Dag & Red
45 - Mansfield, Accrington
44
43 - Cambridge, Oxford
42
41
40 - Carlisle
39
38
37 - York, Tranmere, Cheltenham
36
35
34
33 - Hartlepool

 

[Frank Butcher]

The last match of the season on Saturday 2nd May looks interesting.

Away to Shrewsbury!!

And if they're already promoted or better still guaranteed a play-off place, that could be very good for us.

 

[run PAFC]

So we need another 12-16 points from 9 games. I have my doubts!

 

[oddball]

So we need another 12-16 points from 9 games. I have my doubts!

and if you factor in Burton at home and Portsmouth and Shrewsbury away, as being difficult games,those doubts are well justified

 

[Argy1e]

98
97
96 - Guaranteed Champions
95
94
93 - Champions 2010, Champions 2012
92
91 - Guaranteed Promotion
90
89
88 - Predicted Champions
87
86 - Champions 2011
85
84 - Champions 2014, Promotion 2012
83 - Champions 2013
82 - Promotion 2010
81 - Predicted Promotion, Promotion 2014
80 - Guaranteed Playoffs, Promotion 2011
79
78 - Promotion 2013
77 - Burton
76
75
74 - Shrewsbury, Wycombe
73
72 - Playoffs 2010, Playoffs 2012
71 - Playoffs 2014
70
69 - Predicted Playoffs, Playoffs 2013
68 - Playoffs 2011
67 - Bury
66
65
64
63 - Southend
62
61 - Newport
60 - Guaranteed Safety : ARGYLE
59
58 - Luton, Stevenage
57
56 - Northampton
55 - Exeter
54
53 - Wimbledon
52
51 - Safety 2013
50 - Safety 2014 : Morecambe
49 - Portsmouth, Dag & Red
48 - Safety 2010, Safety 2011
47
46 - Predicted Safety, Safety 2012 : Oxford, Accrington
45 - Mansfield
44 - Cambridge
43
42
41 - York, Carlisle
40
39 - Hartlepool
38 - Tranmere
37 - Cheltenham

 

[Knarf Reprah]

I admire your effort, but it means nothing except for previous points gained by champions, promotion etc. there are only a finite number of points available and shock horror teams play each other! 60 points for safety? PMSL

 

[Argy1e]

I admire your effort, but it means nothing except for previous points gained by champions, promotion etc. there are only a finite number of points available and shock horror teams play each other! 60 points for safety? PMSL

It's not saying you need 60 points for safety, it's saying if you've got 60 points you're currently safe because you can't be relegated. Yes it doesn't factor in teams playing each other but the amounts available wouldn't change one club would still be able to reach a certain amount of points so it still works.

 

[Bermudian Green]

I admire your effort, but it means nothing except for previous points gained by champions, promotion etc. there are only a finite number of points available and shock horror teams play each other! 60 points for safety? PMSL

You may well PYSL laughing, but that's primarily because you're a curmudgeonly old git with a bladder disorder. Chill out a little. :greensmile: