Why NFL Teams Should Reconsider Giving Coaches The Heave-Ho - http://www.npr.org/2015/01/23/379282762 ... e-heave-ho
Now this story is not about real football, but I suspect it applies equally well.
The bottom line for me is that I feel fans personalize results way too much - and either fail to really appreciate or under emphasize the larger context - like budgets.
Sometime ago I read the book Soccernomics which graphed a teams wage expenditure verses average league position - for the top two divisions I think. The result was a beautiful straight line with a few fairly minor variations where team over-performed or under-performed a bit.
We have the third largest average attendance in the league (behind Portsmouth and Luton), but paying past debts etc., probably means that our wage expenses are probably behind 2-4 teams with slightly smaller average attendance (Southend, Oxford, Shrewsbury, maybe Cambridge.) Ergo, Sheridan should deliver a playoff finish (at least) or he can fairly be judged to be underperforming. His public comments for this season seem to reflect that.
Tisdale is certainly overperforming as a manager given Exeter's financial standing. More impressive is Gareth Ainsworth at Wycombe - if their budget is higher than ours, it certainly isn't from their turnstile receipts (averaging less than 4,000 per home game).
:scarf:
Now this story is not about real football, but I suspect it applies equally well.
The bottom line for me is that I feel fans personalize results way too much - and either fail to really appreciate or under emphasize the larger context - like budgets.
Sometime ago I read the book Soccernomics which graphed a teams wage expenditure verses average league position - for the top two divisions I think. The result was a beautiful straight line with a few fairly minor variations where team over-performed or under-performed a bit.
We have the third largest average attendance in the league (behind Portsmouth and Luton), but paying past debts etc., probably means that our wage expenses are probably behind 2-4 teams with slightly smaller average attendance (Southend, Oxford, Shrewsbury, maybe Cambridge.) Ergo, Sheridan should deliver a playoff finish (at least) or he can fairly be judged to be underperforming. His public comments for this season seem to reflect that.
Tisdale is certainly overperforming as a manager given Exeter's financial standing. More impressive is Gareth Ainsworth at Wycombe - if their budget is higher than ours, it certainly isn't from their turnstile receipts (averaging less than 4,000 per home game).
:scarf: