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82 for promotion (7 more wins and a draw) sooner we get them the better
Championship 90 (10 wins or 9 and 3 draws)
Might be a tad optimistic with those numbers.
Championship 90 (10 wins or 9 and 3 draws)
Might be a tad optimistic with those numbers.
Mathematically, 80 seems to be the majic number based on season to date ststistics.
However, any complacency because "we are almost there" is asking for trouble. Last season revisited?
It does seem that it'll be a dog-fight for the 3rd promotion spot for the rest of the season, and as such season to date numbers will be a pretty unreliable guide.
Also, wouldn't it would be sweet to finish champions rather than 2nd or 3rd.
So - we should just focus on winning the next few (supposedly) easier games, build momentum and keep going!!
However, any complacency because "we are almost there" is asking for trouble. Last season revisited?
It does seem that it'll be a dog-fight for the 3rd promotion spot for the rest of the season, and as such season to date numbers will be a pretty unreliable guide.
Also, wouldn't it would be sweet to finish champions rather than 2nd or 3rd.
So - we should just focus on winning the next few (supposedly) easier games, build momentum and keep going!!
It will take 2 clubs below us in the chasing pack to average at least 2 points a game to get to 82 which is probably unlikely so 83 will more than likely be sufficient, which would mean us getting just 23 points from our last 17 games which is bottom half of the table form. This squad is better than that and stronger all round than last season's. We are well on course to go up comfortably.
Based purely on statistics, this is a perfectly logical argument. I would love to think that 83 points would be enough.jerryatricjanner":v5c3btai said:
However, there are so many instances of teams coming from "nowhere" to make the Play-offs or even automatic promotion that there is no place for that sort of thinking.
Whilst I might be amongst his sternest critics, I am absolutely certain that Adams will not let the players think that they can coast home from here. On the contrary, I expect to see the intensity and focus ramped up as we go into the final third of the season.
With the January signings, who look good at this point, and a psychologically important win over Exeter I think we are definitely on course for promotion - just got to keep on grinding out the points to reach that 80+ target.
If we can go into every game looking for three points, hopefully we stand a good chance of coming out as Champions, which would be the icing on the promotion cake.
If we can go into every game looking for three points, hopefully we stand a good chance of coming out as Champions, which would be the icing on the promotion cake.
The good thing about the new signings is that a 'coasting mentality' is the very last thing they will have, as they will continue to want to prove themselves.
