Elimination Table 2016/17 and Doc's Hash Tag thingy

[djg145]

Have I got this right - with Stevenage max points being 83 - we need 12 points from our 8 games to be certain of automatic promotion?

 

[The Doctor]

Have I got this right - with Stevenage max points being 83 - we need 12 points from our 8 games to be certain of automatic promotion?

That's correct, assuming that Stevenage win all of their games of course. Actually, 11 points would be enough as long as we maintain a better goal difference.

 

[exiledhammer]

Yes absolutely. Four wins or three wins three draws will do. Assuming they win their last seven games...

 

[Dgaddy]

After Doncaster we could be 13 points clear with 7 matches left - possible 21 points remaining

Accrington Stanley at home leaves us 16 points clear with 6 matches left - possible 18 points remaining

So the first chance is at Crawley Town Away - even if we don't get any points tomorrow - after Crawley we could be 16 points clear with 15 remaining.

The other games continue to work in our favour: Blackpool are away to Luton next week and Stevenage have to travel to Colchester in two weeks time when we play Crawley so this is a distinct possibility. A result tomorrow perhaps makes it more likely that it will be Crawley away.

If we don't make it at Crawley then it could of course be Portsmouth away (even if we don' t win) - but surely it will be all over when we play Newport on Easter Monday. They might will have been relegated by then and Blackpool are playing Doncaster while Stevenage are away at Carlisle. By this time the teams behind us need to be winning every game while we lose every game.

 

[Dgaddy]

Looking the other way, in order to win the league we obviously need to win tomorrow and then try to stay near them over the next three games and thereafter we have a much easier run in than Doncaster as they are playing all the teams in the play offs dog fight: Mansfield, Colchester, Blackpool, Wycombe and then Exeter. The best scenario really is to grind out three results and then relax and try to play football for the final five games as Donny will lose points.

Portsmouth although behind us and Doncaster have their difficult games behind them now - so if they beat us and we beat Doncaster they could push through as winners if we don't find form.. You will got good odds on backing them to win at the moment so put a couple of quid on them.

 

[djg145]

Personally I don't mind if we come third - yes winning the top spot will be nice - but the overall target for me is to end up above the 4th placed team

 

[The Doctor]

After 26th March game (Doncaster v Argyle):

Very satisfactory indeed...

########################################################### Doncaster +30
######################################################## Argyle +19
################################################# Portsmouth +26

########################################### Stevenage +12
######################################### Blackpool +21
######################################### Luton +19
######################################## Exeter +16
######################################## Carlisle -2

####################################### Mansfield +5
###################################### Colchester +4
#################################### Wycombe 0
###################################### Cambridge +6

 

[Ottawa Green]

UPDATE UPDATE

Pos    Team              P          GD        Pts     Max   Highest  lowest


1     Doncaster          39         30         78      99     1        10            SAFE
2     Argyle             39         19         75      96     1        12            SAFE
3     Portsmouth         39         26         68      89     1        18            SAFE

--------------------------------------------------------------
4     Stevenage          39         12         62      83     1        21            SAFE
5     Blackpool          39         21         60      81     1        22            SAFE
6     Luton              39         19         60      81     1        22            SAFE
7     Exeter             39         16         59      80     1        22            SAFE
--------------------------------------------------------------
8     Carlisle           39         -2         59      80     1        22            SAFE
9     Mansfield          39          5         58      79     1        22            SAFE
10    Colchester         39          4         57      78     1        22            SAFE
11    Wycombe            39          0         55      76     2        22            SAFE
12    Cambridge          38          6         54      78     1        23
13    Grimsby            39         -2         52      73     3        24
14    Barnet             39         -3         51      72     3        24
15    Accrington         38         -1         49      73     3        24
16    Crewe              39         -9         48      69     3        24
17    Crawley            39        -13         48      69     3        24
18    Yeovil             39         -9         46      67     4        24
19    Morecambe          39        -15         46      67     4        24
20    Notts County       39        -22         46      67     4        24
21    Hartlepool         39        -16         41      62     4        24
22    Cheltenham         39        -16         39      60     6        24

--------------------------------------------------------------
23    Newport            39        -21         33      54    12        24
24    Leyton Orient      39        -29         32      53    13        24

 

[Bermudian Green]

A few errors there Ottawa. Our points total looks suspiciously low, plus Grimsby, Barnet & Accrington can no longer catch us

 

[Ottawa Green]

SO EXCITED I CLICKED BEFORE I WAS DONE

 

[Bermudian Green]

SO EXCITED I CLICKED BEFORE I WAS DONE

And that's why I have now have twins.

If we beat Accrington on Saturday and Carlisle lose at Yeovil, we are guaranteed at least a play-off place. I think. :crazy:

 

[Martyn]

We now have 75 points.
A certain team called AFC Wimbledon finished with the same points last season, and they were 7th.
So we could say we are more or less guaranteed a play-off spot.

 

[gaspargomez]

Are 9 points required for promotion or have I got that wrong ? I'm hopeless at this sort of thing.

 

[Pogleswoody]

Are 9 points required for promotion or have I got that wrong ? I'm hopeless at this sort of thing.

I betcha I'm more hopeless at this than you are!
However , as Stevenage's maximum points total is 83 then, I presume, on 84 that we would be Up Up and AWAY!! :thumbs: :scarf:

 

[AdelaideGreen]

Yup. 3 wins (or 2 wins and 3 draws) and we are guaranteed promotion.

Realistically, we might not need all 9 points!! :greensmile: