Biggs":c51ym29q said:
Lundan Cabbie":c51ym29q said:
JimC":c51ym29q said:
Lundan Cabbie":c51ym29q said:
I'm not too sure about the statement of, pay the players more and they will be better.
It means pay more wages, get in better players, not making the existing ones play better.
He didn't say where the extra money is going to come from.
It was Simon Kuper who said it, not JB
http://www.abeautifulnumbersgame.com/2010/04/explaining-regression-through-enhanced.html provides a bit of math behind Kruper's words.
Essentially, they plotted league position against play payroll (actually the logarythm of the payroll as a multiple of the average payroll in league - but bottom line - player payroll - not transfer fees, or any other expenses associated with a club)
Bottom line - while some clubs do a little better with their money than other clubs - the higher the payroll the higher the league position.
Lots of clubs, lots of players, lots of competition, and you get what economists call a "efficient market." Which means better players get paid more. You want a player to join your club, you must pay them as much (hopefully not more) than other clubs are prepared to pay them.
Of course, clubs make poor decisions, get lucky with a player who improves rapidly, get bad breaks with injures or off-field problems, but, at the end of the day, when you have 92 clubs with squads of 24-30 players, it all averages out.
When we were in the championship, we paid more in wages, had better players and performed better. But, we got paid more than we could afford (probably a great inside story of why and who during Holloway's tenure) and then, when the money ran out, the *%#! hit the fan and everything fell apart. That is what "unsustainable" means.
Over recent years our player payroll has been hammered because of the need (legal requirement) to pay off the debts accrued
before the implosion. A vicious cycle of less payroll, poorer players, relegations and less revenue, and back to less payroll.
While we are still paying off debts, we are better off than three seasons ago and our player payroll has (I assume) been rising. Less debts, more payroll, better players, better results, promotion fights not relation fights, and promotion will follow (this season dear god.)
Provided Brent balances ambition growth in player payroll with revenue, we move forward
sustainably. Not as fast as we would like, but steadily. Of course, if he were a billionaire, he could throw money at the club, debt disappears, payroll gets subsidized and rises much faster, better players come in, we have better results, more fans, more revenue, better players, and we move up the league faster.
Adams now has a payroll budget for the season. Subtract the salaries of players already under contract and the biggest decisions of the year are now being made before the first game, before pre-season training, before the first signing. His decision of how many players will he put on payroll will lead to a range of possible salaries for Lewi's replacement, for a Hourihane-level midfielder, and others. Certain players we cannot afford, certain players will eat up budget and warm the bench "just in case" Everything that happens this season will flow from the decisions he makes over the coming weeks. Get fewer players at higher wages and keep them fit and all will be well (example - Ainsworth who either did a terrific job at Wycombe last season or got lucky with injuries). Over-commit the budget and he will have less less flexibility through loans.
