graiser":qw4j5sxk said:
Quoting averages is misleading. Not every single Championship match gets an exact attendance of 17,247. Attendance vary with clubs league position, who the opposition are, weather etc. To get an average of 17,247 there would be many gates over 20,000, as I said 15 of the 24 clubs have had attendances over 20,000 this season but for all but nine of them their average is less than 20,000. If every stadium only had a capacity of 17,247 than the average would be far less.
Don't forget segregation will also reduce the available capacity. So if we had a 17.5k ground we could lose anything from 500-1k+ due to segregation/closing of blocks.[/quote]
Doesn't change the fact in six Years of championship football we only had ten gates higher than the proposed New capacity three of those were FA cup fixtures, also I think for three of those seasons the mayflower was a standing terrace with prices of around eleven quid. 18k is about what our fanbase requires on a week to week basis for championship football, we'd all like a 20k+ stadium but market forces dictate in the end.[/quote]
But that's on our previous historic gates with no period of sustained success in the Championship.
If we have several years as a top end Championship side we'd likely see our gates increase to an average pushing close to 20k not to mention the increase after a new stand/facilities have been built. Look at Reading as a prime example - years ago Argyle fans wouldn't consider them a bigger club than us but these days they very much are.
As I was bored and interested in a morbidly statto way... I've worked out a table based on percentage populations of the current Championship sides from their town's population (boroughs for London sides) and their average gate this season. I'm no statistician so not sure if this is the correct way to sample but the average comes to around 8.44% for the division and based on the population of Plymouth it comes out as 21,867.
Of course, this doesn't take into fact proximity of other clubs and also includes edge cases such as Birmingham (1.53%) and Burnley (17.74%).
Code:
Place Population Average % Pop
Brighton & Hove 273000 25705 9.42%
Sheffield Weds 552000 23391 4.24%
Derby 249000 23100 9.28%
Nottingham Forest 304000 22583 7.43%
Cardiff 346000 22373 6.47%
Wolverhampton 250000 21709 8.68%
Leicester 441000 21674 4.91%
Leeds 751000 21534 2.87%
Charlton (greenwich) 256000 18487 7.22%
Bolton 139000 17715 12.74%
Ipswich 133000 16902 12.71%
Hull 256000 16796 6.56%
Crystal Palace (Bromley) 311000 16751 5.39%
Middlesbrough 138000 16594 12.02%
Birmingham 1074000 16452 1.53%
Huddersfield 146000 15086 10.33%
Blackburn 105000 14666 13.97%
Blackpool 142000 13824 9.74%
Bristol City 428000 13129 3.07%
Watford 90000 13037 14.49%
Burnley 73000 12953 17.74%
Millwall (tower hamlets) 256000 10623 4.15%
Barnsley 74000 10006 13.52%
Peterborough 185000 7692 4.16%
Average 8.44%
Plymouth 259000 21867.21039
The proposed ground capacity would leave only Peterborough with a smaller ground in the current set of Championship teams![/quote]
Interesting statistic, not sure how it fits with Argyle though as there
must be a significant %age of support from Cornwall, if we had a city which had a prolific support of their local team then I perfectly understand the rhetoric for a greater capacity main stand.
But Plymouthians basically do not support their team, beggar I would like a greater capacity but as a previous poster very ably stated on a previous post, I also would not like to be gazing at the current stand in 5 years time, which is a risk.
I also don't accept that increasing capacity within the horseshoe is not possible in the future, if this club ever became as successful as say Swansea then I'm bleddy sure some smart designer would overcome that hurdle, bleddy hell we've just renewed a railway footbridge at Dawlish in a resin material (plastic to you and I) who would have thought of that a few years ago, so for me lets get on with it.[/quote]
There was a study carried out a few years ago which found that 23% of Argyle's support came from Cornwall,which i'm sure you'll agree is a reasonably significant figure but not an earth shattering one.And anyway,when i went to watch Argyle at Carrow Road [the Buzz double free kick game]there was an article in the programme by the club secretary which stated that 70% of Norwich support actually came from outside the city.It doesn't really matter where the support comes from-there are 1.8M people in Devon and Cornwall and that is the catchment area which needs to be tapped into,not just Plymouth alone.As has been said before,almost to the point of distraction,previous support for many clubs who built new stadia was as fickle and unstable as Argyle's but it didn't stop the work from going ahead in anticipation of success.